Augur Weekly - v2 Home Stretch

A Look at the Week in Political Betting, Augur News, and More

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Announcing the Augur v2 Bug Bounty Program

The Forecast Foundation is excited to announce the launch of the public Augur v2 bug bounty program. Security is the number one priority in the Augur contracts, and now we're seeking help from the community in finding bugs and vulnerabilities prior to deployment.

The most critical and high-level class of bugs and vulnerabilities we're interested in are:

  • Loss of Funds

  • Manipulating Open Interest

  • Forking State

Election Betting Roundup

As we come upon the beginning of primary season, let’s take inventory on how the markets are seeing the Democratic race shape up (data provided by our pal, @OldBullTV):

Twitter avatar for @OldBullTVOld Bull TV @OldBullTV
@PredictIt @ewarren @BernieSanders @amyklobuchar @MikeBloomberg @AndrewYang @TomSteyer States favored to win: @JoeBiden: 30 @BernieSanders: 17 @ewarren: 1 States favored to win/place: Biden: 47 Sanders: 47 Warren: 1 @MikeBloomberg: 1 States favored to win/place/show: Biden: 48 Sanders: 48 Warren: 26 @PeteButtigieg: 22 Bloomberg: 4 @amyklobuchar: 1

January 22nd 2020

Twitter avatar for @OldBullTVOld Bull TV @OldBullTV
@PredictIt @ewarren @BernieSanders @amyklobuchar @MikeBloomberg @AndrewYang @TomSteyer @JoeBiden @PeteButtigieg State with most diffuse odds: Minnesota Sanders: 43% Biden: 23% Klobuchar: 16% Warren: 12% Buttigieg: 9% Bloomberg: 4% Yang: 1% Least diffuse: Vermont Sanders: 86% Biden: 4% Warren: 3% Buttigieg: 2%

January 22nd 2020

Twitter avatar for @OldBullTVOld Bull TV @OldBullTV
@PredictIt @ewarren @BernieSanders @amyklobuchar @MikeBloomberg @AndrewYang @TomSteyer @JoeBiden @PeteButtigieg Candidates' average rank in likelihood to win each state: Biden: 1.4 Sanders: 1.7 Warren: 3.5 Buttigieg: 3.6 Bloomberg: 5.7 Yang: 6.0 Klobuchar: 6.1 Steyer: 7.0 Clinton: 7.3

January 22nd 2020

Twitter avatar for @OldBullTVOld Bull TV @OldBullTV
@PredictIt @ewarren @BernieSanders @amyklobuchar @MikeBloomberg @AndrewYang @TomSteyer @JoeBiden @PeteButtigieg Top 4 candidates' odds of winning each state:
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January 22nd 2020

Coming soon in Q1 2020, Augur will be the only platform for political betting with no limits, the lowest fees, and unbeatable odds.

To receive updates on Augur in your inbox, including this newsletter, sign up below:

Further Reading:

3 Random Thoughts on PredictIt Markets - Political Alert Engine

Two Weeks to Shine - Predicting Politics

Bet 2020: First 4 Democratic Primary States, and General Election Odds - Barstool Bets

Around the Ecosystem

More on Augur

Augur.net

Augur v2: A Tour of the Prediction Protocol’s First Major Upgrade

The Ultimate Guide to Decentralized Prediction Markets

Augur Master Plan

Announcing the Augur v1 Cutoff

Augur v2 Transition Update

The Forecast Foundation has no role in the operation of markets, trades or actions created or performed on the Augur protocol, nor does it have the ability to censor, restrict, control, modify, change, revoke, terminate or make any changes to markets created on the Augur protocol. The Forecast Foundation has no more control over the Augur protocol than anyone else using Ethereum.

Thus, we do not seek to advise others on how to use the protocol. We encourage those in the community who are well educated on Augur to pay it forward and share their ideas for best practices, tips, fixes, etc with the larger community via Twitter, Discord, Reddit, Github, and other community channels. For more information regarding the role of the Forecast Foundation, check out the FAQ.

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